You might ask why Virginians should care about I-594. Virginia doesn't allow ballot initiatives and one half of the Virginia General Assembly is firmly in pro-rights hands and would never pass such a law. But for how long will that be the case? Last week's federal court decision throwing out Virginia's Congressional redistricting could have ripple effects on state legislative districts in the not too distant future. There are voices in Virginia who want a "non-partisan" commission to undertake the task of redistricting every 10 years.
It is not lost on the pro-rights community that I-594 could just be the start of the trouble. Washington is being used as a test to see if the model can be used in other states that allow the initiative process. The forces aligned pushing the bill have far more money than the pro-rights side, not withstanding the claim by the anti-rights folks that the NRA has gobs of money and uses it to beat back "commonsense gun safety proposals." There has been a small family feud in the pro-rights community, with some in Washington fighting I-594 complaining that the NRA is not spending enough to fight the initiative. But the NRA's strength has not been its money, it has been an active grassroots, and the NRA has had staff in the state working with those grassroots supporters for months.
As the information is getting out, support for the initative, which stood at over 70% in the spring, is beginning to slip, though a majority of those polled still support it. Now the NRA is up with a new add that points out that law enforcement are opposed to the measure.
As Sebastianwrote earlier today, let's hope that the ad hits the "low-information" voter and continues to chip away at the support in the final 21 days of the election. Because if this scheme passes, look for it to come to a state near you.
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